Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001424 0.001594 0.001766 0.001953 0.002149 0.002349 0.002567
2024-12-29 0.001164 0.001408 0.001664 0.001950 0.002258 0.002580 0.002938
2025-01-05 0.000972 0.001270 0.001593 0.001965 0.002376 0.002812 0.003307
2025-01-12 0.000826 0.001167 0.001550 0.002001 0.002509 0.003059 0.003691
2025-01-19 0.000650 0.001010 0.001431 0.001941 0.002530 0.003177 0.003931
2025-01-26 0.000525 0.000902 0.001358 0.001926 0.002594 0.003338 0.004216
2025-02-02 0.000421 0.000806 0.001291 0.001911 0.002653 0.003490 0.004488
2025-02-09 0.000377 0.000783 0.001310 0.001996 0.002828 0.003774 0.004909
2025-02-16 0.000308 0.000716 0.001268 0.002003 0.002906 0.003944 0.005198
2025-02-23 0.000222 0.000612 0.001169 0.001931 0.002885 0.003996 0.005349
2025-03-02 0.000155 0.000523 0.001081 0.001868 0.002871 0.004051 0.005502
2025-03-09 0.000104 0.000448 0.001006 0.001816 0.002866 0.004115 0.005661
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000370 0.000933 0.001783 0.002910 0.004268 0.005965
2025-03-23 0.000029 0.000321 0.000901 0.001805 0.003025 0.004511 0.006381
2025-03-30 0.000012 0.000281 0.000876 0.001837 0.003154 0.004774 0.006824
2025-04-06 0.000003 0.000250 0.000863 0.001884 0.003303 0.005062 0.007301
2025-04-13 NaN 0.000190 0.000788 0.001835 0.003322 0.005189 0.007584
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000151 0.000743 0.001825 0.003392 0.005378 0.007942
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000117 0.000699 0.001814 0.003458 0.005561 0.008291
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000111 0.000717 0.001901 0.003657 0.005913 0.008847
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000088 0.000688 0.001909 0.003747 0.006124 0.009232
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000054 0.000616 0.001840 0.003725 0.006192 0.009438
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000030 0.000552 0.001779 0.003712 0.006268 0.009652